HackTheSpread: UFC Fight Night Analysis – July 13, 2024
Welcome to HackTheSpread, your go-to source for in-depth analysis and predictions for UFC fights. Tonight, the Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, will host an electrifying lineup of fights featuring a mix of seasoned veterans and rising stars. Here’s everything you need to know about where and when to watch, as well as our detailed analysis and predictions for each matchup.
Where and When to Watch:
- Date: July 13, 2024
- Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
- Prelims Start: 7:00 PM EDT
- Main Card Start: 10:00 PM EDT
- Broadcast: Available on ESPN and ESPN+
Tonight’s Picks
| Matchup | Predicted Winner | Confidence in Winner | Method of Outcome | Confidence in Method | Will It Go the Distance? | Confidence in Distance | Summary/Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas vs. Tracy Cortez | Rose Namajunas | High (85%) | Decision | High (80%) | Yes | High (85%) | Namajunas’ striking and experience at the highest level, combined with her technical prowess, give her a significant edge. Cortez is tough, but Namajunas’ ability to control the pace will likely see her win on points. |
| Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Muslim Salikhov | Muslim Salikhov | Medium (65%) | KO/TKO | Medium (70%) | No | Medium (65%) | Salikhov’s striking power and unorthodox techniques pose a serious threat to Ponzinibbio. Although Ponzinibbio is a seasoned fighter, Salikhov’s knockout potential is high. |
| Drew Dober vs. Jean Silva | Drew Dober | High (80%) | KO/TKO | Medium (75%) | No | Medium (70%) | Dober’s aggressive striking and knockout power make him the favorite. Silva is skilled but may struggle to handle Dober’s pace and power. |
| Gabriel Bonfim vs. Ange Loosa | Gabriel Bonfim | High (85%) | Submission | High (80%) | No | High (80%) | Bonfim’s grappling and submission skills are top-notch. Loosa is a game fighter, but Bonfim’s ground game is likely to secure a finish. |
| Julian Erosa vs. Christian Rodriguez | Julian Erosa | Medium (70%) | Decision | Medium (65%) | Yes | Medium (75%) | Erosa’s experience and versatility should help him outlast Rodriguez. Erosa’s ability to mix strikes with takedowns will be key. |
| Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Cody Brundage | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Medium (70%) | KO/TKO | Medium (75%) | No | Medium (65%) | Alhassan’s explosive power and striking make him a dangerous opponent. Brundage has wrestling skills, but Alhassan’s KO power is a significant factor. |
| Joshua Van vs. Charles Johnson | Charles Johnson | Medium (65%) | Decision | Medium (70%) | Yes | Medium (70%) | Johnson’s experience and striking advantage give him the edge. Van is a tough competitor but may not be able to outpoint Johnson over three rounds. |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Fatima Kline | Jasmine Jasudavicius | Medium (70%) | Decision | Medium (65%) | Yes | High (80%) | Jasudavicius’ wrestling and control in the clinch should allow her to dominate. Kline is promising but may struggle with Jasudavicius’ physicality. |
| Montel Jackson vs. Da’Mon Blackshear | Montel Jackson | High (80%) | KO/TKO | Medium (75%) | No | Medium (70%) | Jackson’s striking and power make him a favorite to finish the fight. Blackshear is skilled but may not withstand Jackson’s offensive output. |
| Luana Santos vs. Mariya Agapova | Mariya Agapova | Medium (65%) | Decision | Medium (60%) | Yes | Medium (65%) | Agapova’s dynamic striking and experience give her an edge. Santos is resilient but may not have the tools to outpoint Agapova. |
| Josh Fremd vs. Andre Petroski | Andre Petroski | Medium (70%) | Submission | Medium (70%) | No | Medium (65%) | Petroski’s grappling and submission skills are likely to be the deciding factor. Fremd is tough but may struggle against Petroski’s ground game. |
| Evan Elder vs. Darrius Flowers | Evan Elder | Medium (65%) | Decision | Medium (65%) | Yes | Medium (70%) | Elder’s all-around skills and conditioning should help him edge out a decision. Flowers is competitive but may not have enough to decisively beat Elder. |
Detailed Fight Analysis
Rose Namajunas vs. Tracy Cortez
- Rose Namajunas has a wealth of experience, having fought and won against some of the top names in women’s MMA. Her striking is sharp and technical, and her ability to adjust her strategy mid-fight is exceptional. Namajunas’ ground game is also solid, though she usually prefers to keep the fight standing.
- Tracy Cortez is a well-rounded fighter known for her wrestling and ground control. She has shown great resilience in her fights but may struggle to handle Namajunas’ pace and striking accuracy over three rounds.
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Muslim Salikhov
- Santiago Ponzinibbio is a powerful striker with a high volume of strikes. He has a strong chin and can withstand significant punishment. His experience in high-level competition is a plus, but he has shown vulnerability to knockout power.
- Muslim Salikhov, known as “The King of Kung Fu,” brings unorthodox striking and a high knockout rate. His spinning kicks and creative striking can catch opponents off guard. Salikhov’s power and striking variety are his biggest weapons in this matchup.
Drew Dober vs. Jean Silva
- Drew Dober is a relentless striker with a forward-pressure style. His knockout power is well-known, and he thrives in aggressive exchanges. Dober’s experience and ability to take damage while delivering powerful strikes make him a formidable opponent.
- Jean Silva is a promising fighter with a balanced skill set. While he has good striking and grappling, he may not have the power or experience to handle Dober’s relentless pressure and knockout threat.
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Ange Loosa
- Gabriel Bonfim is a submission specialist with an impressive grappling resume. His ability to transition smoothly on the ground and secure submissions is top-notch. Bonfim’s striking is improving, but his primary strength remains his grappling.
- Ange Loosa is a tough and durable fighter with decent striking and grappling skills. However, he may struggle to defend against Bonfim’s relentless pursuit of submissions on the ground.
Julian Erosa vs. Christian Rodriguez
- Julian Erosa brings experience and versatility into the cage. His ability to mix striking with takedowns makes him a difficult opponent to predict. Erosa’s endurance and fight IQ are key advantages.
- Christian Rodriguez is a rising talent with a solid striking base. He has shown promise but lacks the experience to match Erosa’s adaptability and tactical approach in a fight.
Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. Cody Brundage
- Abdul Razak Alhassan is known for his explosive knockout power. His aggressive striking can end fights quickly, making him a dangerous opponent for anyone. Alhassan’s main challenge is managing his gas tank if the fight goes beyond the first round.
- Cody Brundage is a wrestler with strong ground control. While he can dominate on the mat, he may struggle to close the distance and avoid Alhassan’s powerful strikes.
Prelims Analysis
Joshua Van vs. Charles Johnson
- Charles Johnson has the experience and technical striking to outpoint his opponents. His ability to manage distance and control the pace of the fight makes him a favorite in this matchup.
- Joshua Van is a tough competitor but may lack the experience and technical proficiency to handle Johnson’s striking and fight management over three rounds.
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Fatima Kline
- Jasmine Jasudavicius uses her wrestling and physicality to dominate opponents. Her ability to control the clinch and ground game will likely be a deciding factor in this fight.
- Fatima Kline is a promising prospect but may not have the tools to overcome Jasudavicius’ wrestling and control in the clinch.
Montel Jackson vs. Da’Mon Blackshear
- Montel Jackson brings powerful striking and an ability to finish fights. His aggressive approach and knockout power are significant advantages.
- Da’Mon Blackshear is skilled but may struggle to withstand Jackson’s offensive output and power over the course of the fight.
Luana Santos vs. Mariya Agapova
- Mariya Agapova is known for her dynamic striking and aggressive style. Her experience gives her an edge in this matchup.
- Luana Santos is resilient but may not have the striking skills or experience to outpoint Agapova.
Josh Fremd vs. Andre Petroski
- Andre Petroski has excellent grappling and submission skills. His ability to control the fight on the ground will be crucial
.
- Josh Fremd is tough but may struggle against Petroski’s superior ground game and submission threats.
Evan Elder vs. Darrius Flowers
- Evan Elder has a well-rounded skill set and strong conditioning. His ability to adapt and outlast opponents gives him an edge.
- Darrius Flowers is competitive but may not have the skills to decisively beat Elder over three rounds.
Stay tuned to HackTheSpread for more fight predictions and in-depth analyses. Enjoy the fights tonight!