As we gear up for another exciting night of UFC action, fans and bettors alike are eager to see how these matchups play out. With UFC Fight Night taking place on Saturday, October 12th, 2024, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, we’re looking at 12 highly anticipated bouts. This article provides detailed fight predictions based on comprehensive analysis of fighter statistics, recent performances, weigh-in results, and forum chatter. Our predictions aim to provide you with the most informed breakdown for each fight on the card.
Event Details:
- Date/Time: Saturday 10.12.2024 at 04:00 PM ET
- U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
- Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
- Ownership: Endeavor
- Venue: UFC Apex
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
- Enclosure: Octagon
- MMA Bouts: 12
Main Card Predictions
Brandon Royval vs Tatsuro Taira (Flyweight)
Brandon Royval, known for his high pace and chaotic fighting style, goes up against Tatsuro Taira, a rising star with exceptional grappling skills. While Royval has proven himself as a dangerous and unpredictable opponent, he has shown susceptibility to submissions when faced with elite grapplers, as seen in his bout with Alexandre Pantoja. Taira, meanwhile, has excelled in controlling his opponents on the ground, making this a dangerous fight for Royval.
Prediction: Tatsuro Taira wins via Submission (Round 3)
Confidence Level: Medium (55%)
Taira’s grappling advantage and Royval’s vulnerability to submissions make Taira the favorite. The confidence level reflects the unpredictability of Royval’s fighting style, which could create openings for both fighters.
Brad Tavares vs Jun Yong Park (Middleweight)
Brad Tavares, a seasoned veteran, faces off against Jun Yong Park, a fighter known for his volume striking and grappling. Tavares’ takedown defense will likely be the deciding factor here, as Park tends to rely on controlling his opponents on the ground. Tavares’ experience against higher-level competition and his ability to stuff takedowns will allow him to dictate the pace of this fight on the feet.
Prediction: Brad Tavares wins via Decision
Confidence Level: Medium (58%)
Tavares’ experience and superior takedown defense give him the edge. Park is tough, but he will likely struggle to take the fight to the ground, and Tavares’ striking should prevail in a three-round decision.
Chidi Njokuani vs Jared Gooden (Welterweight)
This matchup features two explosive strikers, but the weigh-in result gives Njokuani a significant advantage. Gooden missed weight, indicating possible issues with conditioning and preparation. Njokuani’s range and technical striking should allow him to dominate this fight, especially if Gooden’s cardio fades early.
Prediction: Chidi Njokuani wins via TKO/KO (Round 2)
Confidence Level: Medium (60%)
Njokuani’s striking precision and Gooden’s weight miss increase the likelihood of a stoppage. Gooden’s defense will likely falter, especially in the later rounds, leading to a knockout.
Grant Dawson vs Rafa Garcia (Lightweight)
Grant Dawson, a wrestler and grappler, takes on Rafa Garcia, who also excels in grappling. Dawson’s ability to control opponents on the ground, coupled with his cardio and consistent wrestling pressure, makes him the favorite. Garcia is tough to control, but Dawson’s wrestling skills and superior pace should see him win a decision.
Prediction: Grant Dawson wins via Decision
Confidence Level: High (63%)
Dawson’s control on the ground and relentless pace give him a clear path to victory. Garcia’s resilience makes it likely to go the distance, but Dawson’s overall skills in wrestling should outshine Garcia.
Daniel Rodriguez vs Alex Morono (Welterweight)
Daniel Rodriguez is known for his volume striking and excellent boxing, while Alex Morono has seen a decline in recent performances. Rodriguez’s pressure and cardio will be a key factor in this fight, as Morono may struggle to keep up over three rounds.
Prediction: Daniel Rodriguez wins via Decision
Confidence Level: Medium (57%)
Rodriguez’s striking output and superior conditioning should lead to a decision win. Morono has shown signs of slowing down, which will likely play into Rodriguez’s hands.
Preliminary Card Predictions
CJ Vergara vs Ramazan Temirov (Flyweight)
CJ Vergara is a scrappy veteran who has fought tough competition, but Ramazan Temirov’s power and striking make him a dangerous opponent. Temirov has a tendency to start fast and overwhelm his opponents, and Vergara’s defense has shown holes in past fights.
Prediction: Ramazan Temirov wins via TKO/KO (Round 2)
Confidence Level: Medium (54%)
Temirov’s power and striking advantage make a knockout the most likely outcome. Vergara will need to weather the early storm, but Temirov’s aggression will probably be too much to handle.
Jonathan Pearce vs Pat Sabatini (Featherweight)
This matchup is a classic striker vs grappler contest, with Jonathan Pearce possessing the striking advantage and Pat Sabatini excelling in grappling. Sabatini’s ability to take the fight to the ground will be key, but Pearce’s takedown defense and striking could give him the edge.
Prediction: Jonathan Pearce wins via TKO/KO (Round 2)
Confidence Level: Low (51%)
This is a closely contested fight, but Pearce’s striking could be the difference-maker. Sabatini’s grappling is dangerous, but Pearce’s takedown defense might allow him to capitalize on the feet.
Themba Gorimbo vs Niko Price (Welterweight)
Niko Price is a wild card, known for his explosive finishes, but his inconsistency and declining performance give Themba Gorimbo a real chance. Gorimbo’s superior cardio and grappling advantage should allow him to wear down Price over the course of the fight.
Prediction: Themba Gorimbo wins via Submission (Round 3)
Confidence Level: Medium (55%)
Gorimbo’s conditioning and grappling could lead to a late submission, especially if Price tires out in the later rounds.
Chris Barnett vs Junior Tafa (Heavyweight)
This heavyweight showdown will likely be a slugfest. Chris Barnett is a durable fighter, but Junior Tafa’s speed and power give him a significant advantage. Barnett may struggle to deal with Tafa’s early pressure.
Prediction: Junior Tafa wins via TKO/KO (Round 1)
Confidence Level: High (62%)
Tafa’s explosiveness and Barnett’s tendency to absorb damage suggest an early finish. Tafa’s knockout power should lead to a quick victory.
Julia Polastri vs Cory McKenna (Women’s Strawweight)
Cory McKenna is a grappling-heavy fighter who likes to control her opponents on the ground. Julia Polastri is more of a striker, but she may struggle to fend off McKenna’s takedown attempts. McKenna’s ability to control the fight on the mat makes her the favorite.
Prediction: Cory McKenna wins via Decision
Confidence Level: Medium (56%)
McKenna’s wrestling and grappling advantage should give her control over the fight, leading to a decision victory.
Dan Argueta vs Cody Haddon (Bantamweight)
Cody Haddon comes into this fight with excellent conditioning and grappling skills, while Dan Argueta missed weight, which could indicate issues with his preparation. Argueta is tough, but Haddon’s pace and wrestling will likely allow him to grind out a decision.
Prediction: Cody Haddon wins via Decision
Confidence Level: Medium (58%)
Haddon’s pace and grappling advantage make him the likely winner. Argueta’s weight miss raises concerns about his preparation and cardio.
Clayton Carpenter vs Lucas Rocha (Flyweight)
Clayton Carpenter is a rising prospect with strong grappling skills, and Lucas Rocha will need to be wary of his submission game. Carpenter has the ability to dominate on the ground, and Rocha’s defense may not be strong enough to fend off his attacks.
Prediction: Clayton Carpenter wins via Submission (Round 2)
Confidence Level: High (60%)
Carpenter’s grappling should be the deciding factor. A submission in the second round seems likely given his technical skill set on the ground.
Table of Fight Predictions:
Conclusion
UFC Fight Night on October 12th, 2024, promises to deliver exciting bouts across the board. From rising stars like Tatsuro Taira and Clayton Carpenter to veterans like Brad Tavares and Niko Price, this card is packed with intriguing matchups. Our predictions are based on thorough analysis of each fighter’s recent performances, weigh-in results, and stylistic matchups, providing a well-rounded look at the likely outcomes for each fight.
As always, fight predictions come with their own inherent risks, and the dynamic nature of MMA means surprises are always possible. Make sure to follow along with the action and adjust your betting strategy as the night unfolds. Good luck!